The New York Times, in an insightful article, suggests that resources will play an important role in defining conflicts in 2011 and beyond. Specifically the writer suggest the following trends:
1. As rising nations industrialize, they compete for resources, or use resource exports as bargaining chips in disputes;
2.
3. Pollution and extraction complicate local conflicts in lands rich in minerals and fossil fuels.
4. Conflict over rights to the seabed under the melting
5. What one country can do in the interests of all.
I would add to the list the trend of the use of commodities as a currency, if confidence in the US dollar wanes and inflation risks increase.
Source: The New York Times, Why We Might Fight, 2011 Edition, Thom shanker
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